Now that we are venturing into the second half of the year, real estate industry experts have been making their predictions for what we should expect for home prices, home sales and mortgage rates.
Home Prices
Experts are saying that home prices for the second half of the year will continue to increase at a more normal pace. Seven industry experts including Fannie Mae, HPES, MBA, Goldman Sachs, NAR, Zillow and Freddie Mac all have varying positive predictions of increases. The average for all is 2.9% The reason for the continued momentum in appreciation is the supply of homes. Jessica Lautz, Deputy Chief Economist at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), explains:
“One thing that seems to be pretty solid is that home prices are going to continue to go up, and the reason is that we don’t have housing inventory.”
Even though inventory has been on the rise, it is still low in total. The basic supply and demand theory applies here which keeps the pressure to increase prices. So for those who are looking to buy property, the good news is that prices shouldn’t be surging like they did, they will just increase at a more normal pace.
Home Sales
The total number of home sales is also expected to increase. Fannie Mae, MBA and NAR all average out to predict 4.8 million home sales which is a small increase over 2023. Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at NAR, explains why:
“Job gains, steady mortgage rates and the release of inventory from pent-up home sellers will lead to more sales.”
With inventory growing and mortgage rates being more favorable for buyers, we should expect to see some more homes being sold this year compared to last year.
Mortgage Rates
Finally, mortgage rates are expected to dip just a bit. According to Fannie Mae, MBA (Mortgage Bankers Association) and NAR they average their predictions of 6.73% for Q3 and 6.57% for Q4 of this year. Even a small drop in rate can have a large impact on buying power for those looking to purchase. This also can also help those looking to sell as it makes for better market conditions for all.